Why Saudi Money Hasn't Turned Newcastle into Title Contenders
The Newcastle manager isn't typically given to histrionics or grand public statements. Based on his standards, his press conference following Sunday’s loss to West Ham qualifies as a angry outburst. His side scored first but the opposition took the lead by half-time, while also hitting the post and having a penalty revoked by VAR, leading Howe to make a three substitutions at the half-time.
“That was the frustrating thing about the first half,” the coach stated. “I almost could have taken anyone off and I believe that was a reflection of our performance level at that stage during the match and it’s very, very rare for me to have that impression. Actually, I don’t think having done so during my tenure as manager of the club, therefore I believed the squad required a significant change at the break. That’s why I did those decisions.”
Three key players were substituted at half-time and Newcastle did stabilise to an extent in the latter period, but never appearing like they might get back into the contest against an opponent that had secured just a single victory of their previous nine fixtures. Considering the congestion the centre of the standings currently is, with just three points separating third from 11th, and nine points between second and 17th, a sequence of 12 points from 10 games has not placed Newcastle stranded but, equally, they must not finish the season in thirteenth place.
The Problem of Perception
The challenge to an extent is one of perception. With the Saudi PIF, the club have the wealthiest owners in the world. The assumption at the time the PIF acquired 80% of the club in 2021 was that it would have a game-changing impact, similar to the former Chelsea owner achieved at Stamford Bridge or Sheikh Mansour had at Manchester City. The distinction is that both of those owners assumed control before the introduction of FFP regulations (while the current allegations against Manchester City relate to if they violated those guidelines after they were implemented).
Financial regulations restrict the ability of owners, no matter how wealthy, to invest funds on their squads and therefore likely would have slowed any Saudi effort to elevate Newcastle to the level of Manchester City. But there is no need for the club's spending to have been so restrained as it has been; they might have spent more and stayed inside the threshold – or simply taken a relatively meagre Uefa penalty given their major issue is more with the European than the domestic regulation.
Stadium Investment and Financial Rules
Besides which, infrastructure spending is excluded from Profit and Sustainability assessments; the simplest way to raise income to create additional financial headroom would be to expand or redevelop the arena. Given the location of the home ground, with listed buildings on multiple sides, practically that likely means constructing an entirely new venue. Rumors circulated in spring of potentially making the short move to Leazes Park – opposition from community organizations might have been surmounted with a commitment to create a replacement green space on the current ground location – but there has been no movement on that proposal. There has been substantial retrenchment from the Saudi fund on a range of initiatives as it shifts focus on domestic affairs; the attitude to the football club appears completely in keeping with that change of approach.
Player Sales Situation
The star striker saga was born of that conflict. A bolder leadership could have portrayed his sale as essential to free up capital for additional investment; rather there was a unsuccessful effort to keep him. That meant the team started the campaign amidst a feeling of frustration despite the acquisitions of several new players. The start was mixed: a single victory in their initial six games.
Yet it seemed a corner had been turned. They had won five in six prior to the weekend, a run that featured convincing wins of a Belgian side and a Portuguese club in the European competition. That’s why the display against the Hammers was so surprising. The issue perhaps is that the team's style is very aggressive, high-energy; a slight drop-off in energy can have profound effects. Maybe the pressure of Premier League, European and Carabao Cup matches, five fixtures in 15 days, had got to them. The German forward started each of those games and appeared especially weary.
Reality of Contemporary Football
This is the nature of today's the sport. Coaches must be ready to rotate. The manager has been unfortunate that the forward's injury has meant he is short of attacking options but, regardless of how reasonable the reasons, the weekend's performance was unacceptable –especially following taking the lead at a stadium ready to criticize its home team.
The Newcastle boss will hope it was just a blip, an off-day when all players is off-colour simultaneously, but if the Magpies are to secure the European competition in the future, let alone eventually mount an genuine title challenge, they must not be as inconsistent as they have been.